January 12, 2023: The Right Time

posted in: Bears | 0

When is the right time? Timing is a big deal, with a lot of things. Missing an opportunity, jumping the gun, deciding NOT to do something… decisions, decisions. Today, I wanted to talk about betting on sports.

Outside of a few bets in Vegas each year, and some side bets with people I know, I don’t bet on sports any more. I used to bet a whole lot; I think I’ve been through this. Anyways, made an agreement with the wife that I wouldn’t do this any more; honestly, it just takes a lot of my attention and focus, and oh yeah, how I act when I lose money… that’s not fun for anyone. Plus, I’m a heart guy… always betting with my heart vs my head, thinking my teams always have a chance, never wanting to bet against them. When I finally got the green light from my wife to “live my bet life” at the start of the NFL season, I was excited, yet… I didn’t do anything about it; why? I had been waiting to do this again for a long time. With betting legal and all, no worries about bookies and off-shore accounts. With the apps, betting becomes really convenient, right at my finger tips; maybe that was it. Maybe I don’t trust myself. Yet, if I’m only “investing” $100 let’s just say, what’s the harm of that? There are a lot of cool promotions out there… risk free bets… I don’t know; I guess it wasn’t the right time.

I’m thinking about it again; the start of the NFL playoffs feels like a good time. No worries about betting on the Bears or against the Packers. Get some free bets on some of the playoff action. I think I’m ready. I’d like to add a little extra income, although Vegas wasn’t built by winners… If I think of this as a “side hustle”, I’ll probably be disappointed, unless I was to find the discipline it takes, that discipline that I’m not sure exists inside my degenerate body. But again… $100 and out. If I lose it, fine; if I win some, great. If I get to bet on games for a few months, add to the entertainment bucket in my life, cool. I’m trying to talk myself into this finally; how am I doing?

I was waiting for the lines to come out, and… of course I like a couple games. I’ve been talking about the Vikings, and how they are severely underrated IMO. Is the public perception of them so bad that they are basically a coin flip at home vs the Giants? Wow. Only -3… I would have felt better if it was like -6. Then there’s Herbert’s first playoff game for the Chargers against the upstart Jaguars. Only -2.5 on the road… I know the Chargers have a hard time protecting Justin, and the Jaguars beat them earlier in the year, right after Justin got hurt, but… the Chargers defense is no slouch, and are we trusting in the Jaguars offense? That one is a bit more tricky, I guess… The Niners big line against a division foe, the Bills double digit special against a Tua-less Fins team, and the Bengals big spread against their division foe… not feeling any of those necessarily. But the Cowboys -3 over Brady and the Bucs??? Got to like that right? But then there’s the whole “don’t bet against Brady in the playoffs thing”… does that have an expiration date?

So… yeah… maybe if I have time between now and Saturday, I’ll fire it up. Take advantage of a couple “free” plays this weekend; see what happens. It’s only money right? Either way, with the Bears #1 pick locked up, and the Packers not involved, I’m really looking forward to watching the games. The NFL is still king.

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