Remember when the Super Bowl was the only game you could bet props on back in the day in Vegas? Well, times have changed, let me tell you. You can bet on props in every game for every sport all year long. Now, the Super Bowl… is “just another game” as it relates to props. Well, that’s not exactly true. Like everything else with the big game, even the props get ramped up. If you can’t find something to bet on in this game, you’re probably not looking hard enough. Welcome to Prop World!
In general, I try to stay away from props; I haven’t been that successful to tell you the truth. This doesn’t make a whole lot of sense, since I’ve been playing fantasy football pretty much my whole damn life, and some of the props are just a modified version of that. I’ve tried to tie in props to my fantasy team for the week; that didn’t work. I don’t know… there’s just so much to bet on, you have to try to stay focused. I stay away from parlays, the biggest sucker bets out there, and generally, no props either; hell, I rarely touch totals. It’s pretty much straight up bets for me, either with the points or the ML. However, I will make an exception to that rule for the Super Bowl, for some small out-of-the-ordinary investments. Let’s begin.
I bet on this last week with Noah Gray, but… I’m looking at him again. From all the stuff I’ve been listening to, Fangio’s defense is susceptible to the tight end; so go big on Travis Kelce right? Well, I don’t think the Eagles will be that stupid to let him run loose, but maybe the Chiefs other TE… who has had a handful of good games this year. I’m not going to be asking him to do much. If I take the receptions O/U, I’m asking for 2 catches… Once I start locking in props, I will have that and/or some flavor here.
One that I’ve been hearing a lot about is the Mahomes over rushing yards; it’s sitting at 29.5 right now. During the season, Patty isn’t much of a runner, but come postseason… he definitely gets his. I’m not sure if I’m going to jump on this bandwagon, but I’m thinking about it. I don’t know why, but when it comes to rushing props, I’m going to stay away from the big name like Kelce with the receiving props; no Saquon for me. Maybe that’s stupid. Maybe that’s why I don’t win on prop bets. But… I’m looking at Pacheco. I know he’s been garbage since coming back from his injury, but with some more time to “get right”, and his performance in past “big games” including the Super Bowl, 21.5 yards doesn’t seem like an insurmountable number. Worthy too… 6.5 yards O/U rushing… with the jet sweeps/reverses the Chiefs run with one of the fastest guys around… hmm…
I feel like I’m only looking the Chiefs’ way with these props; is that telling me something about the game? How does it all tie together? I don’t know… I’m seriously leaning on betting the Chiefs for the game; will most certainly be looking for in-game opportunities for the team that is down early, either way, catching some points. Another one I like is biggest lead of the game; it was 14.5… I would have bet that… now it’s 13.5; I still like it. Even if a team scores 2 TDs before another, they’ll miss one of the extra points and/or miss a 2 point conversion just to make the squares juicy… haha.
Leave a Reply