Not bad last week… 3-1 ATS. You know what happens when you win a few… you play more! That’s the trap, and I’m falling right into it. Ahhhhhhhhh….. watch out below!
2015 playoffs: 8-3
2015 regular season: 7-5
So ante up! You ride the streak. You start winning, you up the betting. Kind of like the blackjack strategy I was taught in Vegas a long time ago. Say your minimum bet is $5. If you lose, you continue to bet $5. If you win, you raise the bet. First hand, win, second hand $10. Second hand win, third hand $15. I once got up to $35 on a hand. It was a good strategy, and with my brother and friend using the same strategy, and the drinks flowing, it was a pretty nice mid-afternoon run at the Flamingo. When is our next Vegas trip again???
I look at the games this week, and every game looks good! This is the problem. So, I’ll limit it. I’ll only grab my best 5. Here they are:
GB -11.5 DET
Yes, this is the jinx for sure. This is why I will lose every game this week. I’m betting on the Pack?!?! And I’m betting a favorite!!! I hate doing that, but I really think they’re going to stomp them. Detroit is even more pathetic this year than normal. Green Bay coming off 2 losses. It’s redemption time.
CHI +7 at STL
Yes, I’m going back to the well with the Bears. This is the 2nd reason I will lose every game this week. I’ve been pretty hot picking in Bears games, and although I do think St. Louis wins this game, I do think it will be close. Worst case, a back door cover. I don’t feel so confident they’ll win, but I do like the points. Give me some.
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Sorry Al. This may be my favorite play of the week. Oakland is much improved, and is on its way with some good young players at their core. But, their defense leaves something to be desired. I don’t really care if Bridgewater plays or not, I think Peterson runs wild. The Minnesota defense is halfway decent too. I’d ride ML on this game too.
NYG +7 NE
Yes. I like this one too. Giants have owned the Patriots in big games, like 2 Super Bowls. This isn’t exactly a big game, but the Patriots are undefeated, and we’ve been here before. Maybe that’s why this is a sucker play? Maybe this is why the Giants will actually beat them. Let’s see history repeat itself… sort of. That’s a bad, bad angle to play, isn’t it? This Giants team is totally different. I’m actually talking myself out of this play… but, which way do I go, which way do I go… that means no play usually, but we’ll stick with my first instinct and take the points. This week may be really rough…
AZ +3 at SEA
Probably the only game besides Minnesota I should be playing… this is another strong play. I know it’s up in Seattle, in prime time, and they’ll be rocking, but… this is no young rookie at the helm. This is not a QB who gets rattled easily. It’s Carson Palmer, and he and the Cardinals are on a mission this year. I like them to get to the NFC Championship game at least, and maybe even the Super Bowl. Seattle is a shell of itself, and hopefully they don’t break out of it here. Arizona is another good ML play in my opinion.
Wow… 5 games this week. I should pick the rest of the games for the hell of it… OK, I will. These will NOT count towards my documented record, unless of course I win them all… just kidding. These are just for fun, but they all are really.
DAL +2, TEN +6, WAS PK, PIT -5, BAL -5.5, KC +6, CIN -13
Good luck with your plays, especially if you actually have money riding on them.
MK
Gb-11
Was+1
Ten+5
Oak-3
Ne-7
Sea-3
Hou+13